Predictions: 89th Academy Awards (Updated)

7 February, 2017

In honour of the upcoming 89th Academy Awards, the following list gathers together this year’s chosen nominees, outlining the most likely winners alongside a selection of personal favourites and least favourites within each category. Some award categories have been omitted due to the site’s predominant focus on live-action feature films. The current predictions come in response to recent BAFTA and Golden Globe wins as well as worldwide betting odds. All movies noted as favourites have been considered within their nominated category alone.

The article has been updated to include the list of winners.

Best Picture

Nominations: Arrival, FencesHacksaw RidgeHell or High Water, Hidden FiguresLa La LandLionManchester by the SeaMoonlight

Winner: “La La Land” “Moonlight”

Prediction: “La La Land”

Personal Favourite: “Moonlight”

Personal Least Favourite: “Fences”

Best Director

Nominations: Denis Villeneuve (Arrival), Mel Gibson (Hacksaw Ridge), Damien Chazelle (La La Land), Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester by the Sea), Barry Jenkins (Moonlight)

Winner: Damien Chazelle – “La La Land”

Prediction: Damien Chazelle – “La La Land”

Personal Favourite: Denis Villeneuve – “Arrival”

Personal Least Favourite: Mel Gibson – “Hacksaw Ridge”

Writing (Best Adapted Screenplay)

Nominations: Arrival, Fences, Hidden Figures, Lion, Moonlight

Winner: Barry Jenkins – “Moonlight”

Prediction: Barry Jenkins – “Moonlight”

Personal Favourite: Eric Heisserer – “Arrival”

Personal Least Favourite: Luke Davies – “Lion”

Writing (Best Original Screenplay)

Nominations: Hell or High Water, La La Land, The Lobster, Manchester by the Sea, 20th Century Women

Winner: Kenneth Lonergan – “Manchester by the Sea”

Prediction: Kenneth Lonergan – “Manchester by the Sea”

Personal Favourite: Mike Mills – “20th Century Women”

Personal Least Favourite: Taylor Sheridan – “Hell or High Water”



Best Actor

Nominees: Casey Affleck (Manchester By the Sea), Andrew Garfield (Hacksaw Ridge), Ryan Gosling (La La Land), Viggo Mortensen (Captain Fantastic), Denzel Washington (Fences)

Winner: Casey Affleck – “Manchester by the Sea”

Prediction: Casey Affleck – “Manchester by the Sea”

Personal Favourite: Ryan Gosling – “La La Land”

Personal Least Favourite: Denzel Washington – “Fences”

Best Actress

Nominees: Isabelle Huppert (Elle), Ruth Negga (Loving), Natalie Portman (Jackie), Emma Stone (La La Land), Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins)

Winner: Emma Stone – “La La Land”

Prediction: Emma Stone – “La La Land”

Personal Favourite: Emma Stone – “La La Land”

Personal Least Favourite: Natalie Portman – “Jackie”

Best Supporting Actor

Nominees: Mahershala Ali (Moonlight), Jeff Bridges (Hell or High Water), Lucas Hedges (Manchester By the Sea), Dev Patel (Lion), Michael Shannon (Nocturnal Animals)

Winner: Mahershala Ali – “Moonlight”

Prediction: Mahershala Ali – “Moonlight”

Personal Favourite: Dev Patel – “Lion”

Personal Least Favourite: Jeff Bridges – “Hell or High Water”

Best Supporting Actress

Nominees: Viola Davis (Fences), Naomie Harris (Moonlight), Nicole Kidman (Lion), Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures), Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea)

Winner: Viola Davis – “Fences”

Prediction: Viola Davis – “Fences”

Personal Favourite: Michelle Williams – “Manchester by the Sea”

Personal Least Favourite: Nicole Kidman – “Lion”



Best Cinematography

Nominations: Arrival, La La Land, Lion, Moonlight, Silence

Winner: Linus Sandgren – “La La Land”

Prediction: Linus Sandgren – “La La Land”

Personal Favourite: Bradford Young – “Arrival”

Personal Least Favourite: Greig Fraser – “Lion”

Best Editing

Nominations: Arrival, Hacksaw Ridge, Hell or High WaterLa La Land, Moonlight

Winner: John Gilbert – “Hacksaw Ridge”

Prediction: Tom Cross – “La La Land”

Personal Favourite: Joe Walker – “Arrival”

Personal Least Favourite: Jake Roberts – “Hell or High Water”

Music (Best Original Score)

Nominations: Jackie, La La Land, Lion, Moonlight, Passengers

Winner: Justin Hurwitz – “La La Land”

Prediction: Justin Hurwitz – “La La Land”

Personal Favourite: Nicholas Britell – “Moonlight”

Personal Least Favourite: Thomas Newman – “Passengers”

Music (Best Original Song)

Nominations: “Audition [The Fools Who Dream]” (La La Land), “Can’t Stop the Feeling” (Trolls), “City of Stars” (La La Land), “The Empty Chair” (Jim: The James Foley Story), “How Far I’ll Go” (Moana)

Winner: “City of Stars” from “La La Land”

Prediction: “City of Stars” from “La La Land”

Personal Favourite: “City of Stars” from “La La Land”

Personal Least Favourite: “How Far I’ll Go” from “Moana”

 

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